Miles Harrison writes:
Saturday sees three Heineken Cup Pools come to their conclusion, with the match of the day coming from Stade Ernest Wallon as defending champions Toulouse and surprise packages Edinburgh Rugby contest the Pool 2 title - live on Sky Sports.
The Scots are already through, the first side from that country to ever reach the quarter finals, while Toulouse are well placed to at least be one of the two best runners-up.
Edinburgh are the story of the competition so far, and need to be applauded. It is certainly not the case for us at Sky Sports but I think in the wider media they haven't got the credit they deserve. Maybe that is because they have no `glamour` names but their achievement should be recognised as the next stage in the development of the Heineken Cup.
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| Clerc: Toulouse dangerman |
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Edinburgh are very well coached, have lots of spirit and because of that I give them a chance in Toulouse - and you can't say that about many teams.
Having said that, I don't think they will do it. Toulouse are not just chasing qualification as victory would hand them a home quarter final and a bonus point win would make them top seeds, with the prospect of a semi-final in France, if they get that far.
In fact there is a good chance that these sides could meet again at Stade Ernest Wallon in the last eight...Think of the psychological points which could be scored in this match and the motivations are stacking up for Toulouse.
Prediction: When they get it right Toulouse look better than any side in the competition - That is the size of Edinburgh's job on Saturday. I go with Toulouse but Edinburgh have made their mark and shown that hard work is just as important as glamour.
Elsewhere, the Neath/Swansea Ospreys try to avoid finishing the Pool without a point when they entertain Leeds Tykes.
I don't like a team to finish with no points, and so I wouldn't complain if the Ospreys can get something from this match. Leeds have had a good European experience and want to return next year. They are not out of it in the Zurich Premiership, but face a hard task.
I hope it's not the Tykes' last time in the Heineken Cup for a while, but they must use this game as a means of changing their focus back to the Premiership again. A decent display in Wales will be a confidence boost for the final months of the season.
Prediction: I back the Ospreys to get off the mark.
Pool 3 concludes with another `consolation` match for Cardiff Blues as they welcome fellow back-markers Sale Sharks to the Arms Park.
Sale will arrive with a team decimated by injuries. Scrum-half Bryan Redpath and lock Iain Fullarton are both out for the season and fly-half Charlie Hodgson's knee troubles force him to be absent again.
It's a tough time for Jim Mallinder's side, shut-out by an impressive Biarritz Olympique display last week and seemingly lacking ideas behind the scrum. The line-out has been working well, with Chris Jones shining in that area, but all that possession has been squandered with a Hodgson-less back-line failing to fire.
Prediction: Cardiff have been unlucky, coming so close in all their games but only managing to win one of them but I think they could get their second win here. They just need to get things sorted out in the boardroom because they have got the players and the know-how to be a force.
The crucial Pool 3 action comes from the deep south of France, where Leinster Lions take on Biarritz Olympique to decide who progresses as group winners.
It's a tricky test for Leinster - the loss of Brian O'Driscoll hits them hard and would be critical to their chances if this was a semi-final as he is an undoubted match-winner. They have coped OK without him over the last few games, but it's fly-half where they are really struggling.
The administrative error which precludes them from fielding summer signing Felipe Contepomi, and the injury to back-up Christian Warner, has left them light in the play-making role. Coach Gary Ella will be desperate to have Warner fit.
Biarritz looked good at Sale and are starting to put it together defensively. It will be an almighty clash, if Biarritz win and Leinster get a bonus point then the Irish side will go through and I think it might work out like that. H
If that happens, how Biarritz will regret Dimitri Yachvili's terrible missed conversion at Cardiff which cost them victory- a real rap on the knuckles for the scrum-half.
Prediction: Leinster will be going for the win, the fall-back clause of the bonus point does not change the mind-set plus the fact that victory may well be good enough to earn a home quarter final. I believe Biarritz will win, but Leinster will go through.
Things appear cut and dried in Pool 5, with Munster and Gloucester way out in front and with, on paper, comfortable home wins in prospect over Bourgoin and Benetton Treviso respectively to secure qualification. But, on closer inspection, there is still much to play for.
Level on 19 points going into the final fixtures, it's true that even narrow victories would seal the big two's places in the last eight as pool winner and one of the best runners-up but it's vital to get those four tries for the bonus point.
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| Mullins: Munster try hunt |
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If Munster fail to do that, and Gloucester succeed, the Irish province could well face a trip to Kingsholm in the knockout stage, while a four-try win would ensure Munster's next Heineken match will be at their near-impregnable Thomond Park fortress...probably against the cherry and whites.
It's intriguing and either scenario is a thrilling prospect.
Predictions: Gloucester are almost 100 percent to get their bonus point against the Italians, but there's no chance of complacency. Bourgoin could be fired up after the sacking of coach Philippe Saint-Andre, but I think Munster will do it and earn another Thomond quarter final.